Can I See the Northern Lights Tonight?
A local answer built from the aurora signal, darkness, clouds and moonlight—not a Kp number pretending to be a visibility forecast.
Where the auroral oval is now
The same NOAA auroral-oval view used on the Michigan tool, plus the modeled OVATION signal at your searched location.
Brighter areas on NOAA’s map indicate a stronger modeled aurora signal. Clouds, darkness, light pollution and horizon still determine whether you can actually see it.
Open the official NOAA aurora forecast ↗Best weather window after dark
This ranks cloud cover only among dark hours. It does not assume the current aurora signal will last until the weather window.
What the answer is actually combining
OVATION: NOAA’s 30–90 minute modeled aurora signal near your location. Kp: broad geomagnetic context. NWS: local darkness and cloud cover. USNO: moon phase and illumination when available.
What can still ruin a good-looking result
Light pollution, a blocked northern horizon, haze, moon glare and a fast-changing aurora can all matter. OVATION is not a percent chance of seeing aurora and Kp is not a local visibility forecast.